Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1e67fc340a64f3b5b403e322f3d37aa4e3dacb977aed00ec2afd55c0528bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 2,625$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 19c | 256.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 148.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 111.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 100.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 80.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 14c | 77.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 22c | 68.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…cbf2backed No | 75c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.