CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec7d921b311861d42eff78458078b7b19d149dbc47a968c068af223143f091c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,124,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,278,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,124,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 950 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed MOUZ | 50c | 346,221$174,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,821.34 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spirit | 49c | 104,045$50,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,431.53 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Spirit | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spirit | 62c | 75,044$46,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,192.99 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed MOUZ | 46c | 72,361$33,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,285.97 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 65,877$30,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,975.23 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 65,425$31,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,403.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 47c | 52,324$24,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,621.67 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 50,237$23,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,996.19 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Spirit | 54c | 48,340$26,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,236.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 48c | 47,207$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Spirit | 51c | 45,435$23,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,263.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MOUZ | 31c | 41,453$12,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,776.04 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 68c | 35,326$23,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,378.26 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit | 52c | 34,587$18,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,567.05 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Spirit | 52c | 31,175$16,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,894.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…80c3backed MOUZ | 48c | 30,753$14,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,761.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spirit | 52c | 27,300$14,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,104 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Spirit | 51c | 26,237$13,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,956.03 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 42c | 22,925$9,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,540.34 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Spirit | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Spirit | 53c | 20,755$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,755.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 52c | 20,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.97 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit | 54c | 19,796$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,046.47 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Spirit | 50c | 19,778$9,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,825.66 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit | 53c | 18,329$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.44 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Spirit | 52c | 17,400$9,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 34c | 15,726$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 48c | 15,069$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,844.4 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Spirit | 53c | 14,569$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spirit | 50c | 14,067$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,026.81 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Spirit | 51c | 13,846$7,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 13,043$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.21 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MOUZ | 48c | 13,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Spirit | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.98 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Spirit | 55c | 11,776$6,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 47c | 11,700$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.93 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed MOUZ | 43c | 11,567$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Spirit | 53c | 11,370$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Spirit | 52c | 11,000$5,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.97 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spirit | 55c | 10,899$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spirit | 60c | 10,500$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.99 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.96 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Spirit | 50c | 9,560$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.33 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed MOUZ | 51c | 9,375$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed MOUZ | 44c | 8,696$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Spirit | 66c | 8,600$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ | 52c | 8,311$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.85 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spirit | 60c | 8,089$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.51 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed Spirit | 51c | 8,000$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ | 22c | 7,870$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.46 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Spirit | 77c | 7,467$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Spirit | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.27 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit | 52c | 7,115$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.38 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 26c | 7,026$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.88 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 36c | 7,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 38c | 7,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 7,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.91 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 6,884$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed MOUZ | 37c | 6,825$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.83 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Spirit | 53c | 6,681$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.54 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 23c | 6,602$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.74 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…1616backed Spirit | 53c | 6,566$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Spirit | 52c | 6,507$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.03 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 54c | 6,437$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.98 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9d8fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 6,400$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed MOUZ | 48c | 6,253$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Spirit | 61c | 6,041$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.68 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.97 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed Spirit | 66c | 5,871$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.71 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 79c | 5,749$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.28 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 45c | 5,622$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.49 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked MOUZ | 46c | 5,601$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.24 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Spirit | 51c | 5,560$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.59 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 5,211$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 4,901$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.13 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Spirit | 77c | 4,782$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed MOUZ | 68c | 4,680$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed MOUZ | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,500$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.99 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Spirit | 52c | 4,475$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.14 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Spirit | 54c | 4,454$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.96 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 47c | 4,400$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.2 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…5baebacked Spirit | 45c | 4,305$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.08 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Spirit | 52c | 4,280$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ | 34c | 4,133$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed MOUZ | 24c | 4,105$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Spirit | 54c | 4,100$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ | 42c | 3,996$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.28 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Spirit | 50c | 3,967$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.84 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Spirit | 52c | 3,926$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Spirit | 64c | 3,862$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.71 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spirit | 51c | 3,699$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.06 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…61dcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed MOUZ | 21c | 3,500$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed MOUZ | 62c | 3,454$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.98 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Spirit | 61c | 3,283$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Spirit | 56c | 3,274$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.