CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6e8d0965dd2fa182184901d26d386d6070d370b6431fe1764bc63755635ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 51c | 30,145$15,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,755.32 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…5e1ebacked Spirit | 0c | 27,120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 28c | 18,501$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed MOUZ | 52c | 17,124$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,219.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MOUZ | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 8,200$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 36c | 7,823$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.67 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spirit | 47c | 7,784$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.69 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…b126backed Spirit | 16c | 6,937$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 30c | 6,601$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.83 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked Spirit | 29c | 5,783$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.21 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ | 69c | 4,773$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Spirit | 8c | 4,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Spirit | 16c | 3,989$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.06 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 15c | 3,763$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.62 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit | 58c | 3,450$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 51c | 3,137$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Spirit | 48c | 3,066$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.51 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed Spirit | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Spirit | 36c | 2,500$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.99 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Spirit | 33c | 2,332$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.01 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spirit | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.95 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Spirit | 20c | 1,903$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Spirit | 9c | 1,875$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spirit | 44c | 1,827$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.69 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed Spirit | 55c | 1,812$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Spirit | 48c | 1,564$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Spirit | 51c | 1,536$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.94 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…2a4abacked Spirit | 10c | 1,385$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,361$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Spirit | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spirit | 51c | 1,155$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.05 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 21c | 1,014$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Spirit | 48c | 980$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Spirit | 53c | 915.49$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked MOUZ | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Spirit | 42c | 800.92$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Spirit | 46c | 782.6$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Spirit | 38c | 779.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 771.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Spirit | 23c | 762.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed MOUZ | 51c | 736.31$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.79 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed MOUZ | 51c | 735.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Spirit | 31c | 734.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 47c | 604.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…e535backed MOUZ | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed MOUZ | 51c | 589.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spirit | 49c | 573.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ | 60c | 565$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 47c | 555.55$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Spirit | 33c | 542.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e650backed Spirit | 20c | 538.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…fd4dbacked Spirit | 16c | 505.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Spirit | 58c | 504.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked MOUZ | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 497.03$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…c781backed Spirit | 51c | 468.63$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ | 64c | 411.34$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 401.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Spirit | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Spirit | 40c | 373.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…f1bebacked Spirit | 11c | 369.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Spirit | 33c | 366.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Spirit | 28c | 359.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked Spirit | 44c | 358.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Spirit | 25c | 357.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Spirit | 48c | 350.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit | 10c | 349.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Spirit | 49c | 338.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…14e9backed Spirit | 21c | 320$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 65c | 309.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Spirit | 28c | 300.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Spirit | 34c | 282.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Spirit | 49c | 279.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Spirit | 19c | 275.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…024abacked Spirit | 6c | 262$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Spirit | 25c | 260.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 15c | 259.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Spirit | 50c | 256.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Spirit | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…89adbacked Spirit | 20c | 255.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Spirit | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 5c | 233.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit | 59c | 231.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked MOUZ | 47c | 226.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 223.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked MOUZ | 55c | 221.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Spirit | 13c | 208.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…cddfbacked Spirit | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…90ebbacked Spirit | 9c | 204.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Spirit | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.