CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2005e72581c53e9034e0b245626d50da78b47a6d858f2e7104551d03a7751ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Under | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 62c | 2,522$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 75c | 1,565$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.87 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 67c | 1,047$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Under | 60c | 1,008$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 71c | 777$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 50c | 641.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.61 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 54c | 343.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 52c | 301.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Over | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Over | 55c | 256.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under | 33c | 209.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Over | 74c | 194.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Under | 52c | 193.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 48c | 153.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…c060backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…644ebacked Under | 40c | 98.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 45c | 76.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Over | 80c | 74.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa4…9f20backed Over | 48c | 61.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 51.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 55c | 47.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf549…2ecbbacked Over | 57c | 44.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 50c | 40.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 29c | 38.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…99a2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…8a67backed Over | 55c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Over | 52c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…565dbacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.