CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6d2c610ca90ac59ceae327a5feee198ecf40c2c5df555cadf77b56f57138c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 24c | 6,606$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.3 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 30c | 5,979$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.41 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Spirit | 56c | 5,351$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.57 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…e535backed MOUZ | 0c | 4,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked MOUZ | 3c | 4,043$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 24c | 3,061$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed MOUZ | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 34c | 2,972$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.42 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,444$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 55c | 1,400$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spirit | 54c | 1,347$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.79 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 37c | 999.98$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e650backed Spirit | 51c | 870.8$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Spirit | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 29c | 776.75$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Spirit | 76c | 751.54$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 68c | 700$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed MOUZ | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 54c | 552.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…2eccbacked MOUZ | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Spirit | 74c | 481.54$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Spirit | 58c | 475$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed MOUZ | 5c | 399.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…a48cbacked MOUZ | 44c | 362.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit | 55c | 329.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Spirit | 76c | 314.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked MOUZ | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 14c | 299.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed MOUZ | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Spirit | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked MOUZ | 24c | 208.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Spirit | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Spirit | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…c473backed MOUZ | 6c | 173.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d134backed Spirit | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…30e1backed MOUZ | 44c | 167$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed Spirit | 67c | 165.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Spirit | 58c | 164.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…2045backed MOUZ | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…96c8backed Spirit | 56c | 161$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…8d5ebacked Spirit | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Spirit | 59c | 152.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 611 | 38.1%233 W · 378 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spirit | 55c | 133.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed MOUZ | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Spirit | 59c | 121.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked MOUZ | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…69b1backed MOUZ | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a801backed Spirit | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c9…d719backed MOUZ | 15c | 97.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed MOUZ | 12c | 93.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Spirit | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked MOUZ | 13c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…020bbacked Spirit | 64c | 78.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Spirit | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…c234backed Spirit | 56c | 69.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked MOUZ | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Spirit | 67c | 56.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed MOUZ | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…2babbacked Spirit | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed MOUZ | 40c | 47.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.40per pick | 47cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed MOUZ | 45c | 44.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…48b8backed MOUZ | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Spirit | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…4f7bbacked Spirit | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Spirit | 57c | 33.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed MOUZ | 42c | 26.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Spirit | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Spirit | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed MOUZ | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Spirit | 55c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.