TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8abc…c234

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.14
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$51.14
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.8%+$263.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+210.5%+$246.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+50.3%+$25.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.33
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+42%+$29.26
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$30.68
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$61.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$23.96
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+64.5%+$61.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$30.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.43
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+316.7%+$72.14
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$27.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it Snow in Seattle this December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.4%+$9.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+67.1%+$40.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.