Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c46e5b9531c2fb10b3b4b0104c42c44aaa68c61cccf8d8e23c43243b08f645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 27,676$9,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Under | 0c | 11,153$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 79c | 10,267$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.78 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 41c | 9,922$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,831.8 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 6c | 6,263$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.73 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 68c | 5,100$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.19 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 21c | 4,389$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.41 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 74c | 4,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 45c | 1,702$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 18c | 903.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 718.87$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 20c | 534.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 506.24$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.18 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 501.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 76c | 347.37$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 60c | 263.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 51c | 235.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 78c | 221.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 64c | 217.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 69c | 213.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 21c | 184.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 57c | 178.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…d699backed Over | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 21c | 142.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 124.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 48c | 124.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 79c | 113.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 105.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 76c | 85.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under | 22c | 83.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 39c | 71.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 71.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…8973backed Over | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…015fbacked Under | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 29c | 57.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 50.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…c234backed Over | 30c | 39.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 29.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2d…5a69backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…d81abacked Over | 50c | 22.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4d…0e7fbacked Over | 79c | 15.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)Tottenham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.