Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31e3c7d24335fe7eada923500443b583db7ea7e1212457f838a674439661158c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Over | 34c | 5,481$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 12c | 2,972$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.48 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 1,357$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.51 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 66c | 972.1$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 919.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.47 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 68c | 886.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Under | 75c | 849$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 645.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.85 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 33c | 478.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 35c | 325$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Over | 34c | 293.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 66c | 267.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 23c | 220$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Under | 67c | 160.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Over | 8c | 160.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 8c | 145.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 24c | 141.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 76c | 131.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 25c | 100.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…7196backed Under | 67c | 94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 22c | 85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 34c | 67.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 68c | 31.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 76c | 27.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 67c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)Tottenham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.