TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c30,576$20,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,273.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over32c13,480$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,104.511029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over26c12,103$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,967.651,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over56c11,592$6,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,146.576046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c8,911$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,723.592,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over57c4,700$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.259946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over58c3,908$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.542755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c3,520$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.981,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Over56c3,388$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under43c3,333$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.192634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Under71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Under1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c982.5$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.281,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over58c935$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.73959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under45c915.9$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5237036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under42c914.24$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Over33c760$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.23444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c700$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c674.73$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c582$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.186654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over28c560.39$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4811324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over55c550$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under48c501.76$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.971,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Under76c445.29$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5312646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over58c403.33$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over55c362.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7310343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over58c289.66$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.665242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over56c258.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.938653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over60c255.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.218646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Under42c246.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6815344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over58c239.66$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…d3f4backed Over58c238.79$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.29560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over56c222.41$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.414850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over55c183.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.649958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over27c180.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over23c170.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over57c158.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over58c153.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5223435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Under45c153.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6924349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.47440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c119$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.321,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under78c102$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.422653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5621965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4311448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over56c98.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.422454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd9…17b1backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over57c88.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.924755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over58c86.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.76854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over60c83.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8310252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…4892backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under44c77.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a66…74afbacked Under45c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74a…837bbacked Under46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4342240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc6…bfb4backed Over57c70.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under65c69.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5525949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1297…015fbacked Over52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04f…9964backed Over57c52.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcad…b626backed Under45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b23…c5babacked Under46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…786cbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.846943.5%30 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7114045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c34.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6955654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Under45c33.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a4…861dbacked Under45c33.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over57c31.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5821747.9%104 W · 113 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf31e…b5b0backed Under45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5007…493fbacked Under43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.452680.8%21 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over58c27.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4415866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…d077backed Over56c26.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3217759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.325846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under50c26.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.093748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.865364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.512647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bed…eb5cbacked Under45c24.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over56c23.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3710656.6%60 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…87c9backed Over56c23.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over55c22.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.233360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6914860.1%89 W · 59 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.