TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Passion UAof Passion UA, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA57c18,730$10,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,107.274,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Passion UA75c15,014$11,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,805.7646345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Liquid63c12,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.9857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadc5…3d41backed Liquid48c6,870$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Liquid23c4,765$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.0732425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Liquid12c4,618$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.114219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb2…0963backed Passion UA37c4,305$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+254.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Liquid63c4,171$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.6121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid2c3,833$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.53,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA41c3,237$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c05…578fbacked Liquid47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4102060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Liquid2c2,962$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.942825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked Passion UA37c2,700$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.955545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Passion UA37c2,608$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.1123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Passion UA70c1,903$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Liquid66c1,900$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25432548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Passion UA39c1,820$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11812571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2d1…7ee9backed Liquid22c1,558$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Passion UA37c1,515$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.9923932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Passion UA37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9456659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Liquid65c1,412$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.861216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-72.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid28c1,074$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Liquid6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Liquid23c972.7$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1260838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Liquid27c888.88$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.973435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Liquid55c862.16$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.5341850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked Liquid53c800$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.734040%16 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Passion UA37c791.89$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.892250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14d4…e535backed Liquid27c709.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.53441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid24c700$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5958961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Liquid49c678.23$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Passion UA78c614.2$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.345563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Liquid66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Passion UA35c601.3$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8745848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Passion UA37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37897230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Liquid46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Passion UA37c544.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.031,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Passion UA37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5413460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Liquid32c528.95$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9726438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Passion UA52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Liquid66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Passion UA60c437.72$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2232352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid37c414.83$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid7c385$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6113…2443backed Liquid29c341.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Liquid51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8313756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a5…729bbacked Passion UA72c305.7$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Liquid9c302.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Liquid53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506532.3%21 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7a4…9bbebacked Liquid11c265$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Passion UA37c256.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid30c249.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Passion UA68c234.51$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.689141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad3…1ad5backed Liquid66c232.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.525435.2%19 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Liquid54c223.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.79160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Passion UA37c208.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.112254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Liquid31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cfd…a801backed Liquid55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Passion UA53c189.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…6a11backed Passion UA60c174.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492931%9 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Liquid41c172.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked Liquid29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Liquid16c164.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.391947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Liquid10c158.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611553%61 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88bd…f1bebacked Liquid42c120.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1071…42cebacked Liquid9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed Liquid25c118.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked Liquid33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x548f…43b6backed Passion UA78c102.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Passion UA37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6312152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Passion UA35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6584037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Liquid63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639048.9%44 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8abc…c234backed Passion UA70c98.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.263154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Liquid32c98.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Passion UA50c94.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Passion UA42c91.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.521,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked Liquid66c91.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.175232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Liquid66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA35c90.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.781,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Passion UA70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Liquid64c89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Passion UA35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Liquid38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Liquid67c77.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf14e…239ebacked Passion UA55c67.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f61…9131backed Liquid59c63.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.362958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Liquid65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…48b8backed Liquid54c58.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.594257.1%24 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Liquid54c57.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Liquid64c55.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0218447.8%88 W · 96 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Passion UA35c55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7522349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Liquid32c54.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.299151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Passion UA40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Liquid57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.791050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Liquid59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc9…851cbacked Passion UA35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08a…1eeebacked Liquid67c41.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed Passion UA53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Liquid54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.