CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b775f5ef4fbe49ef784d531a3dffbdc0a6068518ec5d4a3b79c29bf08f36df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 4,177$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 62c | 3,634$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 72c | 362.59$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under | 62c | 244.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Under | 43c | 234.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…a6ecbacked Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…f6ddbacked Under | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…11c8backed Over | 49c | 194$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…3157backed Under | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Under | 38c | 148.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Over | 32c | 105.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Over | 58c | 51.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…8becbacked Over | 27c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Under | 40c | 35.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.