TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof Liquid, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Liquid48c26,700$12,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,911.0921051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed TheMongolz49c20,373$9,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,390.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Liquid50c16,317$8,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,080.6613646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz58c15,550$8,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,593.4828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Liquid51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked TheMongolz52c9,131$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,407.421070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Liquid13c7,896$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.0932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz54c7,386$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.381,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Liquid50c7,385$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.189329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Liquid50c6,735$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.388446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz56c5,999$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.961,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Liquid50c5,492$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7462958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed TheMongolz50c4,874$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.1912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Liquid51c4,700$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.9422849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Liquid12c4,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.993333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked TheMongolz50c4,112$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05632348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Liquid50c4,016$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Liquid46c3,983$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8509234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Liquid52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked TheMongolz50c3,816$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.6710442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid50c3,708$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.9425842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed TheMongolz80c3,437$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.442944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed TheMongolz47c3,400$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8023452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz62c3,028$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.64,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked TheMongolz48c3,024$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.589861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid52c3,000$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Liquid51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Liquid49c3,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.83246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked TheMongolz77c2,982$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.437859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked TheMongolz48c2,800$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.9520855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed TheMongolz48c2,781$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.5623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed TheMongolz78c2,657$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.338657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed TheMongolz80c2,570$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Liquid50c2,343$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.69942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Liquid50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Liquid6c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed TheMongolz51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7810942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Liquid52c1,942$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Liquid52c1,909$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Liquid54c1,865$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…61dcbacked TheMongolz49c1,826$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.831353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed TheMongolz50c1,560$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Liquid50c1,540$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed TheMongolz49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7656659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cf1…2a4abacked Liquid9c1,493$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9750%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed TheMongolz48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed TheMongolz68c1,416$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7413461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x414f…29a2backed Liquid33c1,305$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4362458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Liquid16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Liquid18c1,220$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.611353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz50c1,219$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3332548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f1…db00backed Liquid58c1,199$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz46c1,156$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.091,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed TheMongolz50c1,084$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.115442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid18c1,047$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.933,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c1…e1c8backed Liquid42c1,003$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked Liquid50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Liquid51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Liquid50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked TheMongolz48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52022056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Liquid36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz51c990.01$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.161754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz47c983.55$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed TheMongolz64c933.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed TheMongolz51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Liquid48c899.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.999037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed TheMongolz49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3313954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed TheMongolz50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40021846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz48c776.97$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.031,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid52c773$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Liquid52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked TheMongolz49c740.2$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.213460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed TheMongolz51c727.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.723847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Liquid33c719.95$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8916146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz58c713.9$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.993,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Liquid50c678.53$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2620050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Liquid50c676.96$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4841850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed TheMongolz73c649.96$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Liquid15c640.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked TheMongolz47c614.72$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3720936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Liquid51c608.81$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.4926549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz50c600.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4724440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Liquid15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed TheMongolz48c588.39$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3910951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Liquid43c581.74$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Liquid24c580$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.28648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz51c564.27$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2726438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Liquid27c552.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.960838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz74c546.5$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0812153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed TheMongolz80c520.74$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5312571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked TheMongolz64c514.37$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.088243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed TheMongolz48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed TheMongolz50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x252f…8911backed Liquid21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed TheMongolz50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz64c494$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b2…bbdbbacked TheMongolz57c493.83$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.