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Tennis · resolved market

Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Ajla Tomljanovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ajla Tomljanovicof Camila Osorio, Ajla Tomljanovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Camila Osorio3c24,699$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.0111,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic77c14,779$11,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.6894640.6%384 W · 562 L-31.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Camila Osorio24c14,584$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,532.829,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Camila Osorio23c8,701$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Ajla Tomljanovic76c1,535$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.311,37938.4%530 W · 849 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ajla Tomljanovic78c1,277$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.484,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdef0…664ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic79c1,193$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0111562.6%72 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e3…989cbacked Camila Osorio21c1,067$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.731315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Ajla Tomljanovic57c999.96$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9839538%150 W · 245 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x728c…c269backed Camila Osorio12c833.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Camila Osorio19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504141.5%17 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Camila Osorio17c750$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51,45428.5%414 W · 1,040 L+2.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Camila Osorio20c624.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.271,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Camila Osorio13c566.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.244,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Camila Osorio43c560$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.810246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Camila Osorio40c424.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.425,37728.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L-20.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Camila Osorio16c415.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.925,03138.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L-20.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Camila Osorio43c411.45$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ajla Tomljanovic77c379.31$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.198,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Ajla Tomljanovic58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831,87248.2%902 W · 970 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed Camila Osorio16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Camila Osorio40c307.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0268935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Ajla Tomljanovic79c299.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Camila Osorio19c299.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.036,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Camila Osorio4c280.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Camila Osorio21c257.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.933,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Camila Osorio21c222.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.841,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Camila Osorio26c201.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5683823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8abc…c234backed Camila Osorio25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Camila Osorio42c190.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.232,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Camila Osorio16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Camila Osorio28c180.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1260446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Ajla Tomljanovic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4958145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Camila Osorio19c169.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4319725.9%51 W · 146 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe007…af27backed Ajla Tomljanovic75c161.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.052462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Camila Osorio28c160.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2979547.4%377 W · 418 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Camila Osorio41c151$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4446752.5%245 W · 222 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Camila Osorio24c150.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x215b…5906backed Camila Osorio13c149.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Camila Osorio27c135$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4573748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Camila Osorio26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,11154.2%1,145 W · 966 L+65.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Camila Osorio19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.955420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e8…9826backed Camila Osorio19c102.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204938.8%19 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Camila Osorio15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Camila Osorio42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ajla Tomljanovic77c93.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.562,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Camila Osorio28c90.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5519445.4%88 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Ajla Tomljanovic61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.169348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Camila Osorio16c85.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7415141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Camila Osorio27c83.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1976853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Ajla Tomljanovic61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9815155%83 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Camila Osorio20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1670930.2%214 W · 495 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Camila Osorio26c76.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8648652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Camila Osorio26c74.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3630055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Camila Osorio22c74.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5719349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49a…8fd2backed Camila Osorio15c71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Ajla Tomljanovic76c63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121,91759.3%1,136 W · 781 L+3.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Camila Osorio43c60.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Ajla Tomljanovic74c59.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.652,11144.6%941 W · 1,170 L-51.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Camila Osorio26c55.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4761752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Camila Osorio27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8562727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ajla Tomljanovic59c54.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Ajla Tomljanovic58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Camila Osorio28c49.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9611947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Camila Osorio41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092,57136.4%937 W · 1,634 L-21.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Ajla Tomljanovic58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.221,11252.9%588 W · 524 L+3.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Ajla Tomljanovic75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Ajla Tomljanovic57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Ajla Tomljanovic57c32.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9660565.5%396 W · 209 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Camila Osorio43c30.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2151644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Camila Osorio41c30.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Ajla Tomljanovic80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Ajla Tomljanovic80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.753941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d2…22dcbacked Ajla Tomljanovic78c14.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Ajla Tomljanovic80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.59056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…e1fbbacked Ajla Tomljanovic80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.