TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof FURIA, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,023,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,233,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,023,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Falcons80c102,632$81,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,857.4910850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed FURIA39c99,103$38,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,435.8712348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed FURIA50c91,201$45,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,761.726940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA42c25,262$10,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,673.0376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA43c24,283$10,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,413.1441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons48c20,700$9,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,762.5833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed FURIA32c20,386$6,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,520.1212353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FURIA52c18,267$9,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.0338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons66c17,089$11,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,797.091,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons48c13,886$6,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,220.549855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Team Falcons51c13,440$6,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,585.68256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed Team Falcons52c12,404$6,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,900.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons48c12,140$5,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.8317062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Team Falcons54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FURIA2c11,299$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.122129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed Team Falcons71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.992462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed FURIA42c8,580$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-73.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked Team Falcons54c8,504$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.873447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Team Falcons49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Team Falcons48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked FURIA16c7,777$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.467617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons50c7,450$3,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.493360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA52c7,285$3,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.3720354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons52c6,998$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.3232542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Falcons73c6,858$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.5733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…6b53backed FURIA38c6,520$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.521546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Team Falcons51c6,300$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0871275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+57.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked FURIA50c6,300$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked Team Falcons50c6,300$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Falcons75c6,266$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.644546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons49c6,200$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.9892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons62c5,590$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.831,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA47c5,354$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.545,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Team Falcons57c5,320$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.588938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Team Falcons56c5,300$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed FURIA43c5,142$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA53c5,014$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.4978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked FURIA38c5,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.982030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons60c4,962$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons48c4,940$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.767454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons48c4,864$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.3729046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed FURIA2c4,861$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.39616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed FURIA25c4,842$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.439040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed FURIA21c4,797$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked FURIA24c4,566$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.9232832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Team Falcons47c4,020$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.7310644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Team Falcons54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.9926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked FURIA51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9914934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons56c4,000$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9831253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88b…19d9backed FURIA52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa986…9a46backed FURIA13c3,783$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed FURIA50c3,643$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.611844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed FURIA39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3653040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Team Falcons60c3,441$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.9411149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed FURIA18c3,400$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.916749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked FURIA36c3,300$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1883647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed FURIA21c3,168$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.1212749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Team Falcons73c3,130$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.4812759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Falcons68c3,115$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.9919659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Team Falcons69c3,114$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.427157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed FURIA31c3,112$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.421741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Team Falcons55c3,000$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9913357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA37c2,846$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.172,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed FURIA43c2,770$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.477548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Falcons51c2,750$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.325147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA6c2,734$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA23c2,650$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.444,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Falcons77c2,589$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.0135054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked FURIA39c2,550$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons51c2,535$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.7245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…6209backed Team Falcons58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Team Falcons63c2,494$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA26c2,443$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.4340264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed FURIA49c2,419$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0654732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Team Falcons60c2,309$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.472240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Team Falcons78c2,266$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.643537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Falcons49c2,234$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.436147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Team Falcons65c2,213$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.487548%36 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…2f5ebacked FURIA36c2,204$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.071942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked FURIA10c2,155$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.834560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons62c2,101$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.957,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed Team Falcons72c2,078$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.064835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed Team Falcons49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.826656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA5c2,031$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.711,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA47c2,009$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed FURIA24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Team Falcons48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0404839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0408562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7484…de96backed FURIA25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed Team Falcons75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked FURIA12c2,000$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.512160.3%73 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA24c2,000$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9152834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Team Falcons60c2,000$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9837557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed FURIA23c2,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9932136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed FURIA17c1,956$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2551942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Team Falcons71c1,956$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1513253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FURIA45c1,939$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.661034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FURIA52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed FURIA24c1,910$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.26446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.