CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba14c107bdc54f858049d7119ece22dda3b9d826e4540d4f439a4a9df868199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 67c | 2,108$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,132$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked FURIA | 66c | 1,036$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.46 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 33c | 878.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.94 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Falcons | 34c | 422.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA | 68c | 400.48$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FURIA | 65c | 334.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 289.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons | 36c | 281.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 280.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked FURIA | 65c | 205.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Team Falcons | 34c | 178$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Falcons | 32c | 170.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 33c | 128.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA | 71c | 78.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA | 71c | 73.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 67.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Falcons | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Falcons | 40c | 58.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons | 28c | 47.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed FURIA | 70c | 32.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed FURIA | 72c | 21.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.