CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24310013c76bf5d9a7bd072f920891f36e789aadabdbe4464106128cc03be6be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 25c | 22,222$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.41 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 25c | 13,333$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.61 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 75c | 10,584$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,938.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Over | 0c | 9,645$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Over | 75c | 7,892$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…b7c0backed Over | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 51c | 4,628$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.92 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 75c | 3,428$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.39 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 14c | 3,257$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 14c | 2,959$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…9b43backed Over | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…596dbacked Over | 60c | 1,997$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 26c | 1,983$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.53 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…b5e7backed Over | 75c | 1,936$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 20c | 1,266$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 1,229$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.82 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 23c | 1,100$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.63 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 75c | 978.63$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.97 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…fbfbbacked Over | 75c | 933.98$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 50c | 740$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…92c0backed Under | 78c | 649.99$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Over | 75c | 649.37$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.03 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 72c | 549.97$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.98 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…0687backed Over | 75c | 523.44$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Over | 5c | 489.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Over | 70c | 439.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 58c | 382.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Over | 3c | 369.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 77c | 364.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 25c | 356.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.43 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…9d0bbacked Under | 52c | 345.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 74c | 326.66$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ef30backed Over | 75c | 321.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 44c | 315.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…6d76backed Over | 75c | 311.93$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 22c | 307.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 51c | 303.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…78dcbacked Under | 34c | 294.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 20c | 266.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Over | 64c | 255.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Over | 70c | 244.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 54c | 241.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Over | 75c | 234$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Over | 55c | 209.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Over | 75c | 202.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddc…be18backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 25c | 196.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 22c | 195.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 73c | 178.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Under | 79c | 154.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 75c | 152.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 25c | 152.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…d415backed Under | 36c | 152.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 33c | 150.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 21c | 149.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…4c90backed Over | 34c | 139.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 36c | 139.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 58c | 138.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 67c | 135.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…3a9fbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…154bbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 19c | 124.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 49c | 113.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe17e…6f7abacked Over | 75c | 112.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…efa0backed Over | 52c | 111.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed Under | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…cfc9backed Over | 75c | 109.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Over | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…8c49backed Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 36c | 105.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…d0babacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8e…9338backed Over | 75c | 100.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…fc4fbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…6a43backed Over | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Over | 31c | 97.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…519fbacked Under | 27c | 91.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked Over | 26c | 90.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 74c | 87.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 68c | 87.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Under | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.