CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db9d7920d3d20e4326b77701efc0ec192b5e71da12fcce3ded89daeda6269f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.56 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Over | 52c | 5,387$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.09 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 45c | 4,928$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.73 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 55c | 4,200$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Over | 52c | 1,237$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.11 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Over | 41c | 1,176$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.56 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 48c | 867.75$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.91 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 45c | 571.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.43 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over | 54c | 570.34$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 47c | 500.1$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 30c | 390.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 46c | 376.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Under | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Under | 54c | 345.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 64c | 323.06$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 48c | 300.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 55c | 280.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Under | 67c | 248.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 247.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 49c | 238.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed Over | 56c | 207.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Under | 57c | 180.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Under | 60c | 178.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…4ca3backed Over | 56c | 172.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Under | 46c | 155.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Under | 54c | 152.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Under | 54c | 142.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Over | 55c | 131.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 45c | 111.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…1a75backed Under | 67c | 106.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…bdd8backed Under | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Over | 51c | 102.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Over | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Over | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 45c | 85.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 47c | 84.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dff…bdfdbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…a785backed Under | 48c | 81.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Under | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…866cbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…b37dbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…565ebacked Over | 56c | 53.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 45c | 52.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 55c | 49.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Under | 47c | 42.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Over | 52c | 39.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6bcebacked Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…9182backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Over | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…f9e1backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…fd98backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 61c | 22.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…992dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.