CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca36e8178fd6a458525b14e5f6264401825dbaaab72e4b9b47fd988b79be167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcda6…596dbacked Over | 54c | 547.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Under | 46c | 370.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 46c | 347.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 44c | 344.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Over | 50c | 343.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 48c | 333.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 314.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 46c | 152.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 50c | 148$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 45c | 126.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 53c | 116.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Under | 47c | 106.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Under | 49c | 101.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 100.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 97.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Under | 46c | 97.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…bdd8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Under | 47c | 92.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 46c | 84.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 51c | 80.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…8c49backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…866cbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…992dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…b8b6backed Over | 54c | 39.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Under | 47c | 37.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…c2fbbacked Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…c418backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…695dbacked Over | 56c | 30.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…1919backed Over | 53c | 29.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…cbd6backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…d7e7backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.