CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f5214921a681287565db7bcec9fb59975f1a1dca5d370abb5c58b79126c2b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 62c | 6,409$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.51 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 37c | 2,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 36c | 2,474$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 63c | 1,913$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.65 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 1,257$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 66c | 799.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.07 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed Under | 64c | 781.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 63c | 541.08$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 62c | 432.81$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…a769backed Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 68c | 282.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 36c | 277.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 37c | 268.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…0854backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 40c | 252.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 63c | 229.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…b37dbacked Over | 29c | 208.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…e75ebacked Over | 38c | 184.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…27b7backed Under | 64c | 157.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Under | 64c | 154.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…ff50backed Over | 39c | 152.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 20c | 141.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…fad3backed Over | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 35c | 132.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Under | 52c | 129.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 37c | 118.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 23c | 113.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Over | 36c | 111.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…978fbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 60c | 95.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 36c | 91.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 86.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 83.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…d5c1backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Under | 64c | 68.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…f7b1backed Over | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…eb78backed Over | 36c | 58.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 36c | 57.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 59c | 50.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 58c | 48.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…c418backed Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…b4b3backed Under | 64c | 45.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…83a0backed Over | 34c | 43.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 71c | 42.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Over | 37c | 41.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…3c11backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…ab8abacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…3e7cbacked Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Over | 30c | 35.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…940dbacked Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Over | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 64c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…9bb8backed Under | 71c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 70c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 63c | 26.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bd…16ffbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47a…c8f7backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…badcbacked Under | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…db09backed Under | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.