TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA65c4,125$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.625,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA54c3,570$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.3264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA54c3,305$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.9721655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons39c3,257$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.0592456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA55c3,086$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.4823145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13b…701ebacked Team Falcons47c2,532$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.712766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccd…41b9backed Team Falcons46c2,481$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+94.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed FURIA60c1,701$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.3765346.9%306 W · 347 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Team Falcons45c1,667$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.8555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed Team Falcons38c1,531$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.965149%25 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.819245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons35c1,354$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked FURIA50c1,228$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9420248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked FURIA65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed FURIA72c989.46$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3721351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Team Falcons46c873.77$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.779044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed FURIA55c872.16$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6928549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Falcons26c872$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.2829739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA66c821.12$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.421,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked FURIA62c774.98$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.569549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2be…78c2backed Team Falcons45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.55862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Team Falcons34c560$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.612234.4%42 W · 80 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Falcons47c533.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8335466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Team Falcons46c523.91$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9129052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91c5…c7bbbacked Team Falcons47c426.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.35066%33 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA54c349.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3956941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Team Falcons37c309.42$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9330841.6%128 W · 180 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons34c301.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.841,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons33c299.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9976546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons45c298.8$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.752,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db7…5143backed Team Falcons32c288.16$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.951050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Team Falcons45c283.64$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1568648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Falcons36c275$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed Team Falcons38c253.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.297651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd166…e432backed Team Falcons46c233.48$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.081637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Team Falcons46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085360.4%32 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Team Falcons34c187$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4258743.4%255 W · 332 L-2.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c68…d4ffbacked Team Falcons45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Team Falcons45c175.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons40c166.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed FURIA60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Team Falcons32c158.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.459352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA62c153.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Team Falcons35c152.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.65133.3%17 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked FURIA56c143.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed FURIA61c135.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0be…e6c2backed Team Falcons46c130.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.611553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8f…acc0backed Team Falcons47c129.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed FURIA64c129.17$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.673050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3a…bdffbacked Team Falcons45c118.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA62c113.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.422,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…88b8backed Team Falcons45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.054761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Team Falcons46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked FURIA64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6458254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Team Falcons45c96.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.894240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed FURIA65c92.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.213145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Falcons46c91.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7630831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed FURIA54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.637453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Team Falcons32c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.260451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Team Falcons46c86.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.618844.1%83 W · 105 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cc…bdd8backed FURIA60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked FURIA54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030339.3%119 W · 184 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed FURIA49c60.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3076646.1%353 W · 413 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Team Falcons39c57.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.042429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed FURIA66c52.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Team Falcons45c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.515373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x77b8…e82abacked Team Falcons32c49.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+150.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Team Falcons45c48.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6745450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6e…6dc3backed Team Falcons45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc66d…6f62backed Team Falcons46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA59c38.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319449%95 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d4…59a5backed FURIA59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed FURIA67c33.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed FURIA54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830639.5%121 W · 185 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9f…bd22backed Team Falcons45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Team Falcons46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6149947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed FURIA59c32.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2876248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…25edbacked FURIA57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed FURIA56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked FURIA66c20.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6249149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.