Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f7abed2206012d7107b218f3dfec0b05511641eed647c7c54625cd3c0701549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 48c | 23,683$11,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,367.88 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 48c | 20,001$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 11,734$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 8,779$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.5 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 8,071$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.62 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 39c | 2,586$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 2,100$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 52c | 1,429$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.68 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 744.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Yes | 80c | 723.03$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 51c | 551.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 47c | 534$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 520.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 49c | 512.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 36c | 481.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 45c | 408.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…95d4backed Yes | 46c | 399.61$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 330$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 77c | 311.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…9ebebacked No | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ce23backed Yes | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 38c | 225.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…fbd6backed No | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…7b15backed Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 27c | 219.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 214.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…6eb2backed Yes | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed Yes | 53c | 205.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…9d38backed No | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…3615backed No | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 45c | 198.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…6812backed Yes | 52c | 198$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Yes | 53c | 165.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 78c | 158.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 52c | 149.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…b997backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 53c | 100.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 79c | 100.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…d6dabacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 57c | 88.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 48c | 85.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Yes | 49c | 81.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…b7bbbacked Yes | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes | 79c | 69.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…8ac9backed Yes | 79c | 68.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…5643backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 48c | 47.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…9375backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 49c | 43.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…3663backed Yes | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed No | 48c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 48c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 28.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.