Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567b5520b8993a439badf37e97b2198eaf86d39adf4b192c77131119c7972e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fonsecaof Fonseca, Shapovalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Shapovalov | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.96 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Fonseca | 54c | 13,378$7,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.66 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fonseca | 48c | 12,538$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,468.49 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Shapovalov | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Shapovalov | 33c | 7,999$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Fonseca | 25c | 7,743$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.23 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Shapovalov | 48c | 6,273$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.34 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…fcecbacked Shapovalov | 2c | 6,220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shapovalov | 54c | 5,514$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fonseca | 33c | 5,437$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.2 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Fonseca | 56c | 5,113$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.99 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Fonseca | 56c | 4,366$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.66 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Shapovalov | 71c | 4,000$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shapovalov | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Fonseca | 43c | 2,687$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.95 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Shapovalov | 57c | 2,428$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.64 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Fonseca | 37c | 2,289$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…abe7backed Shapovalov | 44c | 2,248$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fonseca | 57c | 2,221$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.13 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Shapovalov | 73c | 2,120$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.61 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Shapovalov | 47c | 2,113$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.15 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fonseca | 55c | 1,816$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.99 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fonseca | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.89 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shapovalov | 50c | 1,406$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shapovalov | 64c | 1,357$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.08 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Fonseca | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.43 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Shapovalov | 15c | 1,107$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Fonseca | 32c | 1,077$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shapovalov | 46c | 1,053$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Shapovalov | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Shapovalov | 71c | 957.69$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.69 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Shapovalov | 36c | 822.58$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Fonseca | 43c | 799.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Shapovalov | 21c | 755.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Fonseca | 60c | 668.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.27 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Shapovalov | 47c | 620.21$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Shapovalov | 48c | 600$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Shapovalov | 45c | 595.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Fonseca | 51c | 562.14$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.45 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Shapovalov | 80c | 515.36$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.08 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Shapovalov | 45c | 509.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fonseca | 51c | 502.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Shapovalov | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Fonseca | 54c | 461.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Fonseca | 55c | 456.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Shapovalov | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Shapovalov | 77c | 387.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Shapovalov | 63c | 368.93$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Shapovalov | 46c | 358.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Fonseca | 54c | 355.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Shapovalov | 57c | 351.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Shapovalov | 55c | 323.89$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Fonseca | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Shapovalov | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Fonseca | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +84%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Shapovalov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Shapovalov | 39c | 278.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Shapovalov | 71c | 270.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fonseca | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Shapovalov | 46c | 247.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Shapovalov | 45c | 243.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Shapovalov | 49c | 225.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Fonseca | 40c | 222.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Shapovalov | 70c | 221.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Shapovalov | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shapovalov | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Shapovalov | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed Shapovalov | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…d9d0backed Shapovalov | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Fonseca | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Shapovalov | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Shapovalov | 72c | 193.06$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Shapovalov | 36c | 190.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Fonseca | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fonseca | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Fonseca | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Shapovalov | 41c | 175.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Fonseca | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Shapovalov | 48c | 146.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Shapovalov | 17c | 136.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Shapovalov | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Shapovalov | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Shapovalov | 75c | 124.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Shapovalov | 44c | 117.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Shapovalov | 34c | 117.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…d09bbacked Shapovalov | 34c | 111.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Shapovalov | 75c | 107.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…8479backed Fonseca | 56c | 107.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Shapovalov | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Shapovalov | 70c | 103.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…c370backed Shapovalov | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…83d4backed Shapovalov | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Fonseca | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Fonseca | 55c | 98.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…dd91backed Fonseca | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shapovalov | 38c | 92.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Fonseca | 56c | 89.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Shapovalov | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…acfcbacked Shapovalov | 15c | 81.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Fonseca | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.