TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kjaerof Landaluce, Kjaer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bf0…261ebacked Landaluce61c55,465$33,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,737.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Kjaer40c13,900$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,358.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+85.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Kjaer40c10,745$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,405.1311343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Kjaer51c10,486$5,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.9811149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kjaer54c10,171$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Landaluce48c7,299$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.17152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Landaluce48c6,365$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.087655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Kjaer37c4,824$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Kjaer40c3,750$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kjaer40c3,279$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Kjaer37c3,000$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9057226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Landaluce3c2,800$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kjaer54c2,585$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.142,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Kjaer37c2,505$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57849252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kjaer56c2,425$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.012,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Landaluce66c2,404$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Landaluce4c2,200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Landaluce56c1,790$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Kjaer37c1,635$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.147238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked Kjaer67c1,579$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.282634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Landaluce3c1,500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Landaluce66c1,350$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.9215862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Landaluce56c1,216$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.3238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Landaluce60c1,208$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.124557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kjaer44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67244125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kjaer40c1,180$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Landaluce41c1,092$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.149134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b07…de95backed Kjaer56c1,071$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kjaer41c1,031$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.297,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Kjaer48c1,008$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.035623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Landaluce18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071b…73c0backed Kjaer44c946.03$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kjaer45c893.2$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.612,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kjaer51c879.35$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8673…e534backed Kjaer44c863.97$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kjaer36c840.82$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.1662742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae04…7411backed Landaluce66c794$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.042277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Landaluce56c793.25$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3515452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fcd…b890backed Landaluce56c750.71$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fb…501bbacked Landaluce56c727.67$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Landaluce56c699.29$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6386…74ecbacked Landaluce56c689.04$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Landaluce59c678.65$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Kjaer42c663.64$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Kjaer48c657.72$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739c…f1cabacked Kjaer44c616.5$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kjaer40c599.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kjaer37c575.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.641,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacc…d667backed Landaluce56c571.14$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Landaluce39c563.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kjaer40c531.14$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.051,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Kjaer39c525$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Landaluce39c500.95$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.119131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kjaer40c500$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30146649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Landaluce62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Kjaer58c482.21$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.212050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kjaer39c470$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Landaluce44c459.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Landaluce56c439.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Kjaer44c434.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.231070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Landaluce49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Landaluce49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Landaluce52c402$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0412631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Landaluce50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Landaluce63c396.84$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6363247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Kjaer35c393.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4324634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Kjaer51c377.16$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.813818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Landaluce48c376$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4814744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Landaluce57c374.62$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Kjaer45c357.74$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2110755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Landaluce52c353.1$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6178152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae2…856fbacked Landaluce63c314.6$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…07fdbacked Kjaer44c314.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Landaluce65c313.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Kjaer39c308.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Kjaer43c306.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Kjaer34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19810251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Landaluce67c297.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.913763.5%87 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Landaluce55c295$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Kjaer34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.123348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Kjaer34c294.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0417538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Landaluce64c265.63$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Kjaer40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Kjaer41c239.12$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Landaluce52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Landaluce36c227.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.271,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Kjaer41c217.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Landaluce32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6358021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Landaluce48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Landaluce52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d5…6575backed Landaluce52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Landaluce52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x652f…e2afbacked Landaluce52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Kjaer56c179.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.119462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Landaluce56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Landaluce55c176.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1236349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Landaluce57c176.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10122744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Landaluce58c171.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Landaluce49c164.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3810443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Landaluce63c159.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.