Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fefc6de8ee5fbb413df549625ee3b791945a25f62998c047b3bce7c65585e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 55c | 22,012$12,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,106.42 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 7,334$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.24 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 73c | 5,915$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.77 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 5,410$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.55 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 72c | 5,382$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 74c | 4,895$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 3,402$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.17 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 2,934$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 8c | 2,315$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 2,145$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 1,604$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.04 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 1,542$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.11 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,093$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 708.94$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 695.17$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 601.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 559.61$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 557.49$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 72c | 358.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 60c | 297.61$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 26c | 264.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 73c | 264$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…b5f8backed Yes | 44c | 207$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…94fdbacked No | 56c | 206$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…8dd3backed No | 56c | 196$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf13…e9b9backed Yes | 44c | 195$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 189.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 172$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed No | 31c | 154.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 53c | 115.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 44c | 90.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 45c | 81.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…3663backed Yes | 72c | 79.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 58c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 53.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 55c | 51.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…f10abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 55c | 47.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…2652backed Yes | 75c | 46.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 40.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…1767backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…b18cbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 55c | 29.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Yes | 47c | 28.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…2fb4backed Yes | 45c | 23.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed No | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 59c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.