Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd46fc50b2ffdda991d256911321ed3ce54595c23fbec9cf5cfb9e5602637f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 2,399$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.56 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 1,749$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 1,690$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.14 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,440$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,098$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,004$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 766.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 632$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 556.41$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 530.63$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 355.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 256.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…11bdbacked Yes | 30c | 241.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 28c | 196.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 184.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 74c | 158$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 72c | 148.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 142.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 72c | 131.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 77.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…c9a0backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…b18cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…1767backed No | 74c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…2fb4backed No | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.