La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce25e610459c0cc7e72fe32cac7c30b25769b4575d1d50cf386b20c3a1f5c2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,594$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.13 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 3,334$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.59 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,752$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 15c | 649.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 295.88$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 33c | 134$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 67c | 134$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 48c | 104.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 70c | 104.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 30c | 74.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 31c | 47.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-17?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.