TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No73c9,721$7,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.034,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c6,178$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.8430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes2c1,629$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.492729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No68c1,521$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.812648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes31c1,488$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.467534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,474$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.251,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes15c1,330$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes23c1,307$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes17c864.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No69c665.53$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3122552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes32c628.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c544.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.493,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No66c421.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1715851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes25c402.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No69c368.57$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.477440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No68c360$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes32c247.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No68c240$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No68c240$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.273259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No69c183.74$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c183$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No66c176.46$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.431250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c154.95$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No73c147.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No80c137.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Yes31c132.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.37540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c126.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes32c125.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.415650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No68c119.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes32c116$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.124254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No66c109.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.418551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No68c108.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3924047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked No68c97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Yes32c96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.721040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No68c83.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6921957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes26c76.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d9…501cbacked Yes30c66.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.219153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.610351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.610045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.619553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No69c59.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…aa68backed Yes32c58.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8772…d10fbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes28c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Yes35c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.453537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed No68c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ccb…a193backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No70c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3457252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No68c38.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed No68c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked No68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No69c33.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3519155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0f…1147backed No65c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852181%17 W · 4 L+5.9wins+0.28per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.620054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No66c29.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.159353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f5…799abacked No68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed No68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.281376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No73c27.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6715051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed No68c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed No68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-75.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed No68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.04850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed No65c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f1…a130backed No72c19.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed No68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed No75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No70c17.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.364562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed No68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.