TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,399.9917248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No61c12,171$7,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,463.8812648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes35c7,100$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.988243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c5,503$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.534,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c2,483$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.1564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes41c1,824$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.9730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed No71c1,329$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.637553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c1,043$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No63c950.46$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.0725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No62c806$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7221957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes35c659.37$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.537440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No62c631.17$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.3310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No62c550$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34115250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c550$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34135054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No62c484$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.084047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes44c389.74$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7420047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No62c385$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c360$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4935…4662backed Yes27c350.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c316.58$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.761,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No56c283.73$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c220$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No62c192$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No50c180.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No59c176.84$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No62c165$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.329053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes42c164.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.292948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No63c158.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes43c142$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.943557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes37c139$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.573145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No15c138.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.179557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No61c131.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.555162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Yes37c126$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.382740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes36c122.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.353743.2%16 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+88.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes42c121.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4517643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No62c112.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes44c112.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.29945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.220949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.218551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No57c109.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.859545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.994346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes34c99.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9815940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes38c99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+60.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5611427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes37c96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.482937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes32c66.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.336933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Yes37c66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed No64c60.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.819553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes27c58.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.763246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.114157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.119352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.121051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.118853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.121151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.18650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.110351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.19649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.119053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.115747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.15743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Yes37c52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c49.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.593,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked No63c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes56c48.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2821842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes46c48.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked No57c48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c9…2551backed Yes24c47.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes37c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.469637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed No63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked No63c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed No63c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No55c36.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.185337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes80c33.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed No63c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked No63c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick69cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.