La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8b58fe8fc94e0f811769a9f29b157e057ab5a693326e1e599d40204982711d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 34c | 10,806$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.12 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 7,803$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.71 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 7,583$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 4,568$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.68 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 5c | 3,900$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 3,774$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 63c | 2,714$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 5c | 2,600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,394$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Yes | 66c | 1,738$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 62c | 1,541$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.46 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,498$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.99 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 37c | 1,361$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked No | 53c | 1,296$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 12c | 1,144$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.12 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 39c | 1,053$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.21 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No | 2c | 998.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 52c | 966.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 38c | 906.58$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 38c | 894.78$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 36c | 837.2$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.57 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes | 59c | 732.51$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 51c | 708.15$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 41c | 607.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 38c | 600.23$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 64c | 596.23$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 59c | 593.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed Yes | 59c | 563$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 540.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 498.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 39c | 479.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Yes | 62c | 479.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 64c | 440.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 37c | 420$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 40c | 399.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 31c | 399.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.83 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Yes | 78c | 375.32$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 68c | 368.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 37c | 360$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3600backed Yes | 61c | 354.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 322.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Yes | 52c | 322.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 63c | 317.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 63c | 315.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 33c | 303.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 66c | 300.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 40c | 300$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 13c | 288.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 280$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 37c | 279.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 39c | 239.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 64c | 236.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 38c | 216.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 43c | 202.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 56c | 186.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 40c | 186.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 58c | 181.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 34c | 179.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 57c | 175.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 65c | 168.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 57c | 168.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Yes | 53c | 162.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Yes | 62c | 143.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 135.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 134.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 68c | 111.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 40c | 103.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 68c | 102.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…2cd8backed Yes | 69c | 101.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 191 | 55%105 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?this page
- Will CD Eldense vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Eldense win on 2025-12-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.