La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Eldense vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076308dcb5cb3e8fe983d34928ea14b24187a749bf482e0346b7a7297e58a08f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 3,029$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 6c | 2,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 53c | 1,901$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,800$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Yes | 67c | 1,300$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.96 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 29c | 1,121$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.18 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,091$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,054$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 23c | 864.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -83%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 55c | 572.16$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes | 70c | 425.08$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 67c | 375$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 23c | 349.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 21c | 319.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 74c | 288$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.88 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 74c | 236.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Yes | 21c | 185.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 130.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 65c | 118.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 48c | 95.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 65c | 85.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…2cd8backed Yes | 75c | 66.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Yes | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 79c | 28.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…1a80backed No | 76c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Eldense vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Eldense win on 2025-12-16?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.