South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6443670a05dbcafd79b5afdb376ae400f3db8493c05c778f60591b6e3d678e

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $64,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,050	316	43%136 W · 180 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No	53c	14,975$7,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,038.25	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	15c	6,293$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,378.28	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	67c	3,494$2,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,327.15	271	33.9%92 W · 179 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed No	22c	3,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,340	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No	54c	1,700$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes	46c	1,700$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	21c	1,642$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.2	494	49%242 W · 252 L	+22.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes	19c	1,608$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.31	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	58c	1,575$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.72	636	44.7%284 W · 352 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	77c	1,274$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.78	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	23c	999.75$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.93	200	22.5%45 W · 155 L	-13.1wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e7…4dc1backed Yes	79c	989.39$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No	54c	900.35$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.34	300	48%144 W · 156 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	33c	893.49$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.18	1,985	44.8%890 W · 1,095 L	-44.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	42c	891.66$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.4	1,428	51.8%740 W · 688 L	+22.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	47c	856$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.68	187	42.2%79 W · 108 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No	13c	645.56$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.02	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed No	47c	605.53$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No	52c	579.97$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.39	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	57c	561.4$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	50c	554$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.68	234	35%82 W · 152 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes	77c	521.19$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	73cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No	29c	438.3$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.02	332	51.8%172 W · 160 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-52%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes	78c	395.45$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.79	181	60.2%109 W · 72 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	29c	354.26$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.96	120	45.8%55 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes	57c	351.05$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No	21c	268.95$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.47	102	42.2%43 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…33debacked No	50c	250$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	53c	236.53$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.17	2,388	51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	46c	236.05$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.87	266	59.8%159 W · 107 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	75c	235$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.45	329	36.5%120 W · 209 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No	54c	225.24$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.82	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes	76c	217.93$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.56	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-10.4wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-46%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbffd…77afbacked Yes	55c	214.43$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes	5c	203.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+11.9wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No	52c	203.25$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.9	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No	49c	195.87$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.84	816	51.6%421 W · 395 L	+12.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes	57c	187.05$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes	57c	184.89$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.39	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	23c	183.09$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.98	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-7.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes	54c	179.63$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes	57c	175.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No	48c	169.41$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked No	27c	165.89$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	68c	162.03$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	70c	158.4$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.56	151	58.3%88 W · 63 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes	57c	154.25$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.92	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f48…c790backed Yes	79c	152.63$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed No	44c	135$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.45	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No	25c	131.39$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No	11c	129.14$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.3	181	29.8%54 W · 127 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed No	24c	119.11$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.82	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb291…271ebacked Yes	77c	115$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed Yes	78c	107.69$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…c7debacked Yes	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe176…9d7cbacked Yes	77c	87.25$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	47c	82.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes	77c	80.87$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.27	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes	77c	65.65$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.55	4	75%3 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96f6…ff05backed No	53c	64.96$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No	23c	62.25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.93	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	48c	57.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.16	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c84…1093backed Yes	58c	56.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes	57c	52.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-5.1wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…c3c9backed Yes	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…96dbbacked Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes	58c	43.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	55%55 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca2…2014backed Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x139a…34bbbacked No	36c	41.53$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No	33c	39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.13	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc445…57c1backed Yes	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…7e87backed Yes	56c	36.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked Yes	47c	33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked No	55c	30.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+109.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes	66c	30.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd684…bb69backed Yes	47c	29.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes	58c	27.59$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Yes	77c	26.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Yes	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09d…115fbacked Yes	57c	25.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf64b…7b63backed Yes	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	817	40.8%333 W · 484 L	+20.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes	61c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0f…db07backed Yes	77c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb3f…7589backed Yes	78c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa958…c06cbacked Yes	55c	18.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73ec…9659backed Yes	80c	15.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	66cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6c…d087backed Yes	80c	15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?this page
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-04?No won
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event