TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. FURIA

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof MOUZ, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee03…3eeabacked FURIA52c17,806$9,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,539.396264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed MOUZ34c9,090$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.444942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked FURIA75c7,289$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.353265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked FURIA41c5,951$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.848237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed MOUZ59c4,878$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ62c4,729$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.1522849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ37c2,836$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.0545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed FURIA41c2,800$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6526842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed FURIA67c2,777$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.084864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed FURIA42c2,565$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.5410538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked MOUZ38c2,500$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.7214239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA44c2,036$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.31,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed MOUZ59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62060953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9818051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked FURIA56c1,597$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.552832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed MOUZ14c1,597$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5613532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA70c1,495$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.519860.1%119 W · 79 L-15.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ63c1,254$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed MOUZ34c1,239$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ59c1,015$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9585946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA38c896.42$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.311,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…c557backed MOUZ53c816.84$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47221846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed MOUZ50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed FURIA38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.477031.4%22 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked MOUZ56c707.27$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.0712145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA37c674.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9360248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ63c650$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked FURIA44c632.27$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.077636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked FURIA50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed FURIA39c599.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.995530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked FURIA66c582.04$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.047659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed MOUZ63c541.29$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.479746.4%45 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed FURIA38c525$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.515251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ61c518.75$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4413043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed FURIA38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31016335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed FURIA37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed FURIA46c430$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.67642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed MOUZ52c419.29$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked FURIA78c398.79$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.796643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked MOUZ64c396.88$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ57c352.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ58c343.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011369%78 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x949f…4a02backed FURIA65c306.19$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked FURIA54c300$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1374438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed FURIA66c262.39$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3969253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf822…093ebacked MOUZ39c256.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed FURIA48c245.51$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.863445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked MOUZ54c229$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242944.8%13 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ16c200.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.011,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11124554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a45…36dcbacked FURIA72c199.82$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed MOUZ55c183$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2112131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ37c182.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.616744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked FURIA39c171.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7920855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed MOUZ46c166.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed FURIA42c152.38$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3810738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed MOUZ15c145$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58932.6%29 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed FURIA69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9338552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed FURIA55c124.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3314952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7671…0d2fbacked FURIA38c124.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ35c123.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2435341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked FURIA50c119.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5231758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f4…43d0backed MOUZ48c118.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.962356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed FURIA47c106.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1230139.5%119 W · 182 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8761…7936backed FURIA38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.262138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA59c104.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9426351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed MOUZ62c101.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.982075%15 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed FURIA40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed MOUZ17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822f…ea37backed MOUZ25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a9…4578backed MOUZ59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4c…e485backed MOUZ41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed FURIA47c99.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3711625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed FURIA73c81.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.869542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA78c75.23$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed FURIA42c73.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8120350.7%103 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed MOUZ63c70.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed FURIA65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.236657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed MOUZ45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed FURIA37c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6536437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked FURIA47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3530748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed FURIA37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.028247.6%39 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed MOUZ37c53.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.571952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA64c52.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.860853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked FURIA60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…9052backed FURIA38c45.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a71…f9c9backed FURIA49c44.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.984560%27 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed MOUZ61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.428346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed MOUZ62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810252%53 W · 49 L-12.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.282646.2%382 W · 444 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.