Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1e410e62ab90babaf44500b20e8871be2779eed0510a560f53dd03d26c452a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof BetBoom, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 3,461$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed BetBoom | 66c | 3,405$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.75 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 2,840$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,251$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.47 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed BetBoom | 67c | 1,530$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked BetBoom | 67c | 831.47$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked BetBoom | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 651.03$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 580.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed BetBoom | 47c | 526.2$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom | 62c | 460.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.45 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed BetBoom | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 384.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed BetBoom | 54c | 318.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed BetBoom | 63c | 305.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BetBoom | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom | 32c | 156.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed BetBoom | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 124.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1f…81a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 108.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed BetBoom | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…e231backed BetBoom | 64c | 93.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…c0dabacked BetBoom | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 83.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed BetBoom | 66c | 64.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2ce2backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 55.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…613abacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 44.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BetBoom | 72c | 43.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 35.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed BetBoom | 76c | 21.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.