Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Galions vs. Karmine Corp Blue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33bcaf3aea24e0bbc3947eae5f7fa72b41e8cde3dff54606d2be5696482d2a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 5,465$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.9 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Galions | 49c | 4,485$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.09 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Galions | 57c | 989.75$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.16 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Galions | 61c | 800$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.6 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 600$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Galions | 57c | 559.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Galions | 55c | 425.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Galions | 50c | 318.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…b2cfbacked Galions | 52c | 195.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 186.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Galions | 58c | 167$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Galions | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Galions | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Galions | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Galions | 64c | 105.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 105.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Galions | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Galions | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Galions | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 51.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Galions | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…a3e7backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 35.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Galions | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Galions | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.