TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

BLAST Open: fnatic vs. M80

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of fnatic, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked fnatic50c51,702$25,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,850.878237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed M8050c35,111$17,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,706.6121645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked fnatic51c22,231$11,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,230.8383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed M8050c16,101$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.2760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed M8072c4,403$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.9623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked M8050c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed M8050c3,050$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52516335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed fnatic11c2,675$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.514864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked fnatic50c2,257$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.0520855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed M8050c2,225$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.4525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed M8050c2,176$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08810538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed M8049c2,148$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.886842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed M8049c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.781450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed M8072c1,793$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.6320350.7%103 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic35c1,600$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5561,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked fnatic15c1,521$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.516264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed fnatic26c1,251$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3110933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked M8050c1,242$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6212832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed M8049c1,204$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8045c1,152$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.335,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked M8054c1,122$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.1260953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked M8056c1,063$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.031,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed M8047c1,000$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0518650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed fnatic59c998.99$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.4158961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed fnatic10c963.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3413532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed M8050c914.12$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.6524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccc…67fdbacked M8050c887.46$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.73825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked M8049c798$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40524440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2729…e171backed fnatic51c790$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed M8050c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked M8055c590.65$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.344438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked M8050c513.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.578956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed fnatic49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf822…093ebacked M8043c461.68$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.681540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed fnatic28c461.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1413223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked M8050c402.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8617236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked fnatic27c396.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9326351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked M8051c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1613043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed fnatic28c386.79$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.37732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed M8069c375.93$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9310238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked fnatic53c361.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked fnatic54c360.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed M8050c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed fnatic45c354.55$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed M8050c344.92$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.469746.4%45 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed fnatic51c343.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed M8048c299.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed fnatic42c297$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9712131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed fnatic52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked M8051c262.64$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.223554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed M8045c249.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked fnatic51c249.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.492740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed M8055c247.27$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.277031.4%22 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed M8049c225.19$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8563445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed M8045c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2236751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed M8050c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba7…2cdbbacked fnatic52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed fnatic49c197.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.572470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed fnatic51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked M8050c191.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.837659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked M8052c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.211949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked fnatic48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.214239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked M8059c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.82944.8%13 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed fnatic19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.518724.1%45 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed fnatic20c146.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.094656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked M8049c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6630748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4c…e485backed fnatic27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked M8050c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed M8062c96.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.032665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed M8055c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9123454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…31d3backed fnatic35c82.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b17…1713backed fnatic36c77.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked M8050c72.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.065461.1%33 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed M8050c62.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.492075%15 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed M8062c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1797…baa7backed fnatic34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed M8050c57.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6116449.4%81 W · 83 L-20.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked M8049c52.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked M8051c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.542149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8257…f579backed fnatic26c47.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7671…0d2fbacked M8049c47.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…9052backed M8051c47.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked M8050c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a71…f9c9backed M8051c35.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.274560%27 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed M8048c30.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.224250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked M8050c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked M8050c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8f4…43d0backed M8078c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked fnatic52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216336.2%59 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked M8074c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked fnatic51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed M8050c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed M8073c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542257.3%242 W · 180 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b7…c8a8backed fnatic50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked M8068c18.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7447055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.