Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Buffalo Bulls vs. East Carolina Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5645f212b68252fd190290a4daea3604c7df0b5f83b60207749f76f6d19dfd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolina Piratesof Buffalo Bulls, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 29,328$15,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,423.08 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 29,041$13,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,371.02 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Buffalo Bulls | 74c | 2,800$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.32 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo Bulls | 75c | 2,782$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…103abacked Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 1,892$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.52 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 1,736$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Carolina Pirates | 8c | 1,510$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked East Carolina Pirates | 22c | 1,303$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed East Carolina Pirates | 7c | 626.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 608.98$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.29 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed East Carolina Pirates | 71c | 550$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 503$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed East Carolina Pirates | 11c | 424$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked East Carolina Pirates | 12c | 377$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.45 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 330.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 310.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed East Carolina Pirates | 54c | 296$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed East Carolina Pirates | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked East Carolina Pirates | 50c | 181$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 148.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Buffalo Bulls | 41c | 124.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina Pirates | 21c | 94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 83.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Buffalo Bulls | 58c | 63.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 50.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 32.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 29.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…e358backed Buffalo Bulls | 49c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…8622backed East Carolina Pirates | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo Bulls vs. East Carolina Piratesthis page
- Buffalo Bulls vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 145.5Under won
- Buffalo Bulls vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-1.5)East Carolina Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.