Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Alpha7 Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab757c8aa3bac589d91267266951d2a7fe50b4de41b115b8ec5b4383bfd2ab6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keydof Alpha7 Esports, Vivo Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Alpha7 Esports | 46c | 1,128$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Alpha7 Esports | 42c | 833.84$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vivo Keyd | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Vivo Keyd | 58c | 763.65$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.73 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Alpha7 Esports | 40c | 499.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vivo Keyd | 60c | 453.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vivo Keyd | 61c | 284.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Alpha7 Esports | 49c | 204.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Vivo Keyd | 60c | 146.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Alpha7 Esports | 40c | 143.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…70aebacked Alpha7 Esports | 38c | 141.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Vivo Keyd | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vivo Keyd | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Alpha7 Esports | 38c | 56.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Alpha7 Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Vivo Keyd | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed Vivo Keyd | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.