Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73cf36bc3b38c743a88a795f5c235660718d6c24dd06afe8476b524184106b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 72c | 16,973$12,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 12,306$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.45 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 21c | 6,154$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 45c | 5,867$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 40c | 5,508$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.34 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 3,024$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.63 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 61c | 2,963$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,550$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 2,400$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 1,978$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.35 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…01c4backed Yes | 58c | 1,774$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…d01cbacked No | 71c | 1,640$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…8db1backed Yes | 29c | 1,628$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Yes | 29c | 1,509$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed No | 71c | 1,506$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 50c | 1,337$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.36 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…c1bdbacked No | 71c | 1,142$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…7cd0backed Yes | 29c | 1,141$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 71c | 1,110$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 34c | 971.43$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Yes | 14c | 732.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x667a…f924backed Yes | 29c | 656.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…f822backed No | 71c | 656.06$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 29c | 603.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…722bbacked Yes | 19c | 499$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 43c | 430$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 424$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 29c | 412.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 39c | 337$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 60c | 334.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 37c | 311.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 239.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked No | 46c | 217.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 30c | 194$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 192.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 49c | 188.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked No | 80c | 162.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 20c | 162.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…8f9cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 153.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 70c | 145.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 39c | 139.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 130.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 30c | 88.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 50c | 88.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 23c | 85.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…d7f0backed Yes | 61c | 80.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 71c | 70.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 67c | 65.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 64.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 30c | 56.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 25c | 48.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…9520backed Yes | 30c | 46.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…6ea7backed No | 72c | 45.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…454dbacked No | 72c | 43.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…6a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…6545backed No | 72c | 36.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Yes | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Yes | 57c | 34.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…de71backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 45c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158b…fb9abacked Yes | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 71c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. Udinese end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.