Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x186ab90fc5ef95c1265ea183d5c214a4eaf7b4a173da22f20d06fbac263cf561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 8,929$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 61c | 7,500$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.98 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 18c | 6,650$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 18c | 4,517$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.14 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 19c | 2,507$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 42c | 2,175$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,484$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 20c | 1,240$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 1,235$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.04 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 43c | 1,181$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.21 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,117$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.94 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 38c | 992.8$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.26 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 61c | 930$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 886.72$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…e4dabacked Yes | 41c | 516.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 71c | 481.28$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 436.59$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Yes | 10c | 432.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 60c | 399.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 62c | 303$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 36c | 299.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 39c | 295$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 18c | 275.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 79c | 148.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 31c | 128$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked Yes | 41c | 125.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 20c | 120.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…d4ddbacked Yes | 41c | 112.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…42e8backed Yes | 41c | 100.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…f6adbacked Yes | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed No | 60c | 86.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b0…990bbacked No | 60c | 74.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 70.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…6a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 41c | 62.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…716abacked No | 60c | 51.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…d31abacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 42c | 35.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 14.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. Udinese end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.