Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc9d5dc352d2e1df588e827cab8c7883625ddac788b608f27d0676a4ee90372d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 3,922$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.32 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 3,107$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.21 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Heroic | 74c | 2,652$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.99 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Heroic | 76c | 2,051$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.69 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Heroic | 71c | 1,660$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Heroic | 74c | 1,602$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 1,503$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 72c | 1,432$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heroic | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 1,176$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 1,018$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 918.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Heroic | 73c | 904.11$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 799.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 777.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 67c | 748.52$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 10c | 663.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heroic | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yakutou Brothers | 9c | 543.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…6c34backed Heroic | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yakutou Brothers | 9c | 493.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 484.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 12c | 445.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 433.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Heroic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…abfabacked Heroic | 72c | 288.42$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 12c | 273.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 257.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakutou Brothers | 11c | 237.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 78c | 210.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 67c | 200.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Heroic | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Heroic | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…957cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 18c | 152.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Heroic | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Heroic | 79c | 120.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 111.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…b5dfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 103.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Heroic | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Heroic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Heroic | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Heroic | 76c | 78.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd24…3d5bbacked Heroic | 76c | 78.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Heroic | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 70.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…6773backed Heroic | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…e109backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 69.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 69.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Heroic | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 63.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 57.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…7ba2backed Heroic | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…d534backed Heroic | 71c | 54.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed Heroic | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…b9fcbacked Heroic | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Heroic | 75c | 53.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Heroic | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Heroic | 79c | 47.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…202fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 35.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Heroic | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Heroic | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…1987backed Heroic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c9b1backed Heroic | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Heroic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Heroic | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed Heroic | 73c | 26.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Heroic | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic | 62c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.