Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4612f8b9ac11b01a4ea04d76fff9de8b8f42011f322f16580acd2f48385adec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 4,912$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.96 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 2,943$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.93 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 2,641$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.6 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 2,635$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Heroic | 76c | 2,473$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 44c | 2,162$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.35 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 3c | 2,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 36c | 2,027$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.23 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 1,456$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.35 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 1,358$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.36 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Heroic | 66c | 1,124$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.17 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 1,033$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 970.31$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.4 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Heroic | 74c | 793.72$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Heroic | 56c | 731.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Heroic | 65c | 695.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Heroic | 30c | 662.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Heroic | 71c | 610.96$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Heroic | 51c | 486.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Heroic | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic | 78c | 384.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 340$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic | 60c | 333.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…7e4fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 310.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 274.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic | 76c | 258.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Heroic | 74c | 243.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Heroic | 19c | 221.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 203.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 200.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Heroic | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Heroic | 58c | 124.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yakutou Brothers | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed Heroic | 69c | 73.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Heroic | 76c | 70.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Heroic | 70c | 63.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Heroic | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…dbb1backed Heroic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…4c3cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 45.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 30.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…8c74backed Heroic | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Heroic | 76c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)Heroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.