Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f18a450d996fb4eea4fefcffc855c6dc056e493af502b11b40ff3a189d27cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 38c | 50,685$19,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,260.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…3e1abacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 24,330$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,330.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed MOUZ | 37c | 21,253$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 39c | 14,200$5,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 13,967$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.3 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed MOUZ | 42c | 13,234$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 12,826$8,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.06 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ | 28c | 12,238$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.16 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked MOUZ | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 8,483$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 8,018$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed MOUZ | 39c | 7,793$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.06 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 19c | 6,905$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.05 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 6,553$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.48 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 5,741$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.77 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MOUZ | 40c | 5,295$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.93 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 5,000$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.17 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 4,897$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,585$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,762$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.67 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 41c | 3,364$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.33 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,197$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed MOUZ | 38c | 3,189$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 3,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.97 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,837$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.81 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 22c | 2,727$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.42 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked MOUZ | 20c | 2,601$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,405$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.95 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ | 21c | 2,390$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.89 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,369$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.57 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,279$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.17 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 2,156$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.39 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,060$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.76 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 36c | 2,045$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.53 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,017$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.06 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,870$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.84 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,866$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.69 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed MOUZ | 5c | 1,650$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,603$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,575$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked MOUZ | 19c | 1,530$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,465$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,423$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,200$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,150$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,076$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…040fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,074$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,017$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,006$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.78 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 994.03$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 37c | 963.75$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 928.89$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 910$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 807.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 802.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.86 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked MOUZ | 38c | 780$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 27c | 772.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 751.45$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 732.24$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 722.94$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.72 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 665.21$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed MOUZ | 42c | 662.71$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 653.82$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 652.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 652.22$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…58f5backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 577.06$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed MOUZ | 18c | 564.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 546.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MOUZ | 41c | 544.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 540$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked MOUZ | 28c | 530.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked MOUZ | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed MOUZ | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 524.68$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 517.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…422bbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 512$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 506.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked MOUZ | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed MOUZ | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 499$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 484.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MOUZ | 39c | 481$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MOUZ | 39c | 469.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed MOUZ | 18c | 464.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.