Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ed87b0a5f378b4b67e0ab272c0e7b59c58ac53e85bcf577f6e9f37acc8ce26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 20,789$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,653.25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 15,000$6,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,829.62 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 9,678$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.09 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 54c | 8,079$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.88 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 46c | 6,839$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 5,363$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.76 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,874$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.45 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 4,338$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.58 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 17c | 3,830$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.55 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,112$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.28 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 52c | 3,000$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.12 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,581$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.37 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,556$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.45 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,323$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.72 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,018$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,628$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.21 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,323$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.46 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,258$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…c95abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,231$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…42d5backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,188$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 13c | 1,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 30c | 960.01$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 946.69$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.81 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed MOUZ | 54c | 910$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed MOUZ | 58c | 863.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked MOUZ | 42c | 829.15$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 799.88$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.95 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 47c | 786.68$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 745.09$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.97 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 42c | 700$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 665.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.16 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 47c | 653.4$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 622.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.76 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 35c | 607.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ | 49c | 565.82$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.67 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 519.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 490.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 466.69$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 48c | 457$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 285.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 247.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 242.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 229.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ | 29c | 208.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed MOUZ | 25c | 200.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed MOUZ | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 197.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed MOUZ | 14c | 188.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…f042backed MOUZ | 54c | 183.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed MOUZ | 54c | 181.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 167.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 144.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 139.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139a…34bbbacked MOUZ | 16c | 131.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 121$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed MOUZ | 24c | 115.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed MOUZ | 45c | 112.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed MOUZ | 50c | 107.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 107.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed MOUZ | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 102.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ | 60c | 100.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed MOUZ | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed MOUZ | 54c | 98.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed MOUZ | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 87.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 83.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 80.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 76.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed MOUZ | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…74c5backed MOUZ | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…0c6ebacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 67.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 65.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MOUZ | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed MOUZ | 24c | 58.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked MOUZ | 24c | 57.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…7b08backed MOUZ | 37c | 54.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 54.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed MOUZ | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked MOUZ | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked MOUZ | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 47.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 45.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 41.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…da3ebacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 37.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.