TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0529…da98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88.67
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+65.9%+$116.69
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.8
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$57.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$107
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.01
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.03
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.24
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.75
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.2
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$101.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Meizhou Hakka FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$445
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.