South American Leagues · resolved market
CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb6b860afb34b71b50f8d69c023b28763aba2ecbc355156f6cac622ee4f7fb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 2,734$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.83 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 65c | 1,783$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 60c | 827.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 8c | 739.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.74 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 739.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.35 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 405.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 53c | 325.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 63c | 251.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 190.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 64c | 156.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 66c | 151.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Over | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 137.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 78c | 109.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 77c | 71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 34c | 54.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 33c | 37.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 75c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 66c | 20.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd775…e321backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 16.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5this page
- CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5Under won
- CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5Under won
- CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.