Asian League · resolved market
Will Meizhou Hakka FC win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeea81812f92d08ff20f32f6fd37d5e55f257f1df93559103fab96ebe39a9359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.99 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 56c | 23,883$13,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,374.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 56c | 3,966$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.62 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 45c | 2,480$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 1,750$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.92 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 55c | 912.78$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 56c | 597$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.85 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 58c | 547.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…895cbacked Yes | 47c | 543.44$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 449.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 52c | 335.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 54c | 315.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 56c | 154.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 57c | 95.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Yes | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Yes | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Yes | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…0c6fbacked Yes | 56c | 34.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…f959backed No | 45c | 30.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…26a5backed No | 45c | 27.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…cdc5backed Yes | 57c | 23.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…50ecbacked Yes | 56c | 23.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Meizhou Hakka FC win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Meizhou Hakka FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2025-10-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.