TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over58c120,367$69,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,640.532450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,00019549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Under43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.99944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over57c16,163$9,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,950.057938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c11,982$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658.392,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under42c5,555$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under43c5,304$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.722951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under43c5,200$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.391478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c5,168$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.7298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under43c4,310$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.6696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c4,151$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.361,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over57c3,482$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.435653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c2,517$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.8434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over66c2,510$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.161392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over77c2,499$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.8815450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c2,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over55c2,108$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5571…eb84backed Over58c2,103$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc65…c08ebacked Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under43c1,650$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.54748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over61c1,342$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.528357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb740…582dbacked Over45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over57c1,148$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.7918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,084$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.841118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62d8…6783backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over68c926.47$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4712731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c872.6$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…88d0backed Under45c813.33$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…d87abacked Under43c810$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f55…de24backed Over57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc6…a7c8backed Under45c760$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.57558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e2f…137cbacked Over56c740$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed Over56c720$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf7…71c8backed Under45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c700$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over65c615.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf4…4de6backed Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8715459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362b…9534backed Over80c470$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under44c404.52$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Under33c348.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…c31cbacked Over56c312.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over58c310$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.216046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over57c301.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6a…a85fbacked Under6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under43c299.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over57c287.72$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.723638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Under44c227.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.182536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over56c212.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.439154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.33562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over56c210$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.42171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c189.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c160.2$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over34c147.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.152560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Under48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under45c142.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under43c136.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.591650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…bfaabacked Under45c116.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over58c108.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3719436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over37c103.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.084535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Over57c102.3$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over47c100.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.435726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c97.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Under43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404025%10 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e1…40e0backed Over25c87.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+297%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2117958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Over23c84.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+336.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Over58c84.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Over73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over36c80.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.565655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x050f…0f26backed Under19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under46c78.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.052556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.735156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c70.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Under62c65.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under45c64.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.049750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfb…6dc1backed Over44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.36349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over57c59.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0529…da98backed Over57c55.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over58c53.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4511748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf7…91bebacked Under44c53.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over56c50.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.188242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.