Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30f20f776f9086f1c318ffc20bbb561b07a441e2d008722525860ebd5f0425b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Under | 67c | 63,115$42,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,828.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 43,500$14,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,370.4 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 15,011$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,224.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…154dbacked Over | 43c | 14,400$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 5,352$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.89 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.95 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 33c | 3,099$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.09 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 44c | 1,900$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…67a5backed Under | 67c | 1,532$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 34c | 1,324$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Over | 42c | 955.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…720dbacked Over | 34c | 764.66$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 692.56$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Under | 68c | 576.6$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…b4dcbacked Under | 67c | 507.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 67c | 399.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 33c | 348.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Under | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 33c | 279$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 73c | 271.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 57c | 247$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 66c | 235$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 43c | 225$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 220.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Under | 67c | 193.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 59c | 190$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 56c | 187$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 38c | 184.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed Over | 67c | 152.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 44c | 140.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Over | 66c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 34c | 130.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…f73abacked Under | 73c | 128.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 123.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 42c | 118.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 53c | 113.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 49c | 112.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 33c | 112$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 53c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…6f97backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 46c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 80.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 50c | 76.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 55c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 34c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c9c4backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 33c | 45.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Over | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Under | 69c | 42.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 35c | 41.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.