Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27dc35d838d45d96df3c62cba06272a88f2b65db302975ce68017543b09ca9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 6,872$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 43c | 6,304$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 3,637$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.12 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 1,806$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.75 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 47c | 1,580$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.29 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked No | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 48c | 899.98$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 834.54$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.37 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 54c | 697.11$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 60c | 671.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Yes | 46c | 498.43$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Yes | 47c | 462.79$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 461$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 52c | 437.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 411$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 369.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…2e0fbacked Yes | 9c | 266$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked Yes | 47c | 244.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed No | 65c | 205.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…75d9backed Yes | 8c | 156$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 44c | 154.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 127.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 65c | 122.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Yes | 47c | 122.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed No | 53c | 118.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed No | 54c | 118.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked No | 53c | 118.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed No | 53c | 114.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed No | 53c | 110.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 55c | 107.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 84.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 47c | 66.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 43c | 55.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 47c | 44.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…8507backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 57c | 41.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 55c | 34.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed No | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c51backed Yes | 46c | 32.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 55c | 27.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 55c | 22.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…bc79backed Yes | 47c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 46c | 22.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 55c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 56c | 18.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.