Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061cf4d9cf2f1dda9039a8e83771d7e1ca9c402c31d73ad8e6f535e35cd3eee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,934$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,392$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 8c | 1,268$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.89 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 10c | 1,073$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.7 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…4758backed Over | 76c | 971.18$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 55c | 939.72$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Over | 30c | 930.36$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Over | 41c | 850.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 669.81$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 24c | 416.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 18c | 247.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 14c | 207.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 7c | 188.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 10c | 116.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 43c | 61.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Under | 74c | 59.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 34c | 56.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Over | 50c | 42.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…e73dbacked Over | 54c | 26.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.